Add Oracle3 to Prediction Markets#379
Open
YichengYang-Ethan wants to merge 1 commit intowilsonfreitas:mainfrom
Open
Add Oracle3 to Prediction Markets#379YichengYang-Ethan wants to merge 1 commit intowilsonfreitas:mainfrom
YichengYang-Ethan wants to merge 1 commit intowilsonfreitas:mainfrom
Conversation
Author
|
Thanks for maintaining this list! Happy to adjust description length, language tags, or section placement if anything doesn't fit your conventions. |
This file contains hidden or bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
Sign up for free
to join this conversation on GitHub.
Already have an account?
Sign in to comment
Add this suggestion to a batch that can be applied as a single commit.This suggestion is invalid because no changes were made to the code.Suggestions cannot be applied while the pull request is closed.Suggestions cannot be applied while viewing a subset of changes.Only one suggestion per line can be applied in a batch.Add this suggestion to a batch that can be applied as a single commit.Applying suggestions on deleted lines is not supported.You must change the existing code in this line in order to create a valid suggestion.Outdated suggestions cannot be applied.This suggestion has been applied or marked resolved.Suggestions cannot be applied from pending reviews.Suggestions cannot be applied on multi-line comments.Suggestions cannot be applied while the pull request is queued to merge.Suggestion cannot be applied right now. Please check back later.
Adding Oracle3 to the Prediction Markets section.
Oracle3 is an open-source autonomous trading agent that operationalizes the Wang Transform pricing model across multiple prediction-market venues (Kalshi, Polymarket, Solana via DFlow). It complements the existing entries by providing a multi-venue execution agent with explicit constraint-based arbitrage and model-driven strategies.
The pricing engine is backed by a working paper: Pricing Prediction Markets: Risk Premiums, Incomplete Markets, and a Decomposition Framework (Yang, 2026, UIUC) — λ̂ = 0.183 estimated on 291,309 resolved contracts across 6 platforms.
Quality
Checklist
- [Name](url) - `Lang` - Description.