Skip to content

Add Oracle3 to Prediction Markets#379

Open
YichengYang-Ethan wants to merge 1 commit intowilsonfreitas:mainfrom
YichengYang-Ethan:add-oracle3
Open

Add Oracle3 to Prediction Markets#379
YichengYang-Ethan wants to merge 1 commit intowilsonfreitas:mainfrom
YichengYang-Ethan:add-oracle3

Conversation

@YichengYang-Ethan
Copy link
Copy Markdown

Adding Oracle3 to the Prediction Markets section.

Oracle3 is an open-source autonomous trading agent that operationalizes the Wang Transform pricing model across multiple prediction-market venues (Kalshi, Polymarket, Solana via DFlow). It complements the existing entries by providing a multi-venue execution agent with explicit constraint-based arbitrage and model-driven strategies.

The pricing engine is backed by a working paper: Pricing Prediction Markets: Risk Premiums, Incomplete Markets, and a Decomposition Framework (Yang, 2026, UIUC) — λ̂ = 0.183 estimated on 291,309 resolved contracts across 6 platforms.

Quality

  • License: Apache 2.0
  • Activity: v1.1.0 released 2026-05-07; regular commits
  • Documentation: full docs site with tutorials
  • Tests: 633 tests; mypy + ruff + codespell on every push
  • Stars: 170+

Checklist

  • Single project per PR
  • Format: - [Name](url) - `Lang` - Description.
  • Description ends with a period
  • Placed under Prediction Markets (matches project domain)
  • Searched open/closed PRs — no duplicates

@YichengYang-Ethan
Copy link
Copy Markdown
Author

Thanks for maintaining this list! Happy to adjust description length, language tags, or section placement if anything doesn't fit your conventions.

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant